On January 5, swiss bank is released " low louis vuitton outlet end intelligent machine is about to popularize industrial catenary to change shortly " deepness report. This report points out, 2013 introductory class smartphone price will fall to 400 go to 500 yuan, volume of smartphone year shipment will amount to 250 million 2014. 2015, domestic smartphone market will assume saturated position.

The report points out, the popularity rate end 2011 may amount to the louis vuitton outlet stores smartphone 12% . Drop quickly of chip and price of other and main part as processor, introductory class the price of the smartphone will fall to 600-700 by 2012 yuan, will drop to 400-500 by 2013 yuan, this means 2013 ends the domestic user of 70% affords smartphone.

It is reported, at present Chinese smartphone is about in the popularity rate in mobile phone user 12% , predict to will be achieved 2012 25% , achieved louis vuitton outlet online 2013 40% , achieved 2014 50% . Accordingly, shipment volume was achieved 2011 8, 0, 2012 150 million, 2013 210 million, 2014 250 million.

As the change of the smartphone, the competitive pattern of Chinese telegraphic course of study also will produce change, this kind of change is helpful for acquiring the telegraphic company that backs more by force in mobile phone respect, namely authentic louis vuitton outlet Chinese UniCom and Chinese telecommunication, but go against Chinese shift; Be helpful for mobile phone shopkeeper but go against mobile phone jobber; Be helpful for brand of homebred mobile phone but brand of the mobile phone outside going against a country and business of production of white card mobile phone.

The report says, as introductory class the scope effect of the smartphone expands quickly, value catenary louis vuitton outlet store online support becomes more mature and efficient, component cost also will drop quickly. Price of screen of 3.5 inches of feeling may fall from 9 dollars 2012 to 5-6 dollar, 256 million shine put fall from 9 dollars to 4-5 dollar, 5 million photograph like element fall from 10 dollars like the head to 5-6 dollar. Press this estimation, the cost of material of the smartphone will reduce an introduction level louis vuitton 2012 compared to the same period 2012 30% the left and right sides.

Data still is forecasted, market share of An Zhuo will rise 2012 to 55% the left and right sides, class of a place of strategic importance falls to 20% the left and right sides. Market share of An louis vuitton outlets Zhuo may maintain later in 65% right-and-left levels, predict Windows platform will replace class of a place of strategic importance 2012 20% market share of the left and right sides.

The report says, 2000 yuan will be the price watershed of international brand and native land and own brand. The analyst predicts, international brand depends on brand advantage, will continue market of smartphone of dominant louis vuitton wallets high end (the price exceeds 2000 yuan) , the domestic supplier that there is huge advantage on the price will be in in low end smartphone market surmounts international brand. The market share of manufacturer of predicting home mobile phone will from 2010 18% rise to 22% 2011, 2012 36% with 42% 2013. (be over)

Add detailed chart data:

Graph one Winner And louis vuitton speedy Losers

Graph interval of price of mobile phone of 2 China user: The 70% mobile phones that use 400 yuan of above

Graph 3 predict 2012 introductory class the smartphone is main component gucci outlet price will fall compared to the same period 30% above

Graph 4 predicting 2011-2014 year volume of domestic smartphone shipment will amount to 250 million (unit: 1 million)

Graph 5 gucci outlet predicting An Zhuo will replace class of a place of strategic importance predominate operating system

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